Virginia is the second state which Real Clear Polling has shifted from tossup to lean Democrat in recent weeks. On July 27, ...
Miller in 2020 used PredictIt, the largest political betting site in the U.S., to track odds in a number of voting ...
Historian Allan Lichtman has announced his prediction on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential ...
Harris' chances of winning in November have spiked since her debate against Trump, according to Silver's model.
After predicting the outcomes of multiple close elections, a leading data scientist has predicted a landslide victory for ...
Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.
They are the constant northern star of political prediction.” Even the most skeptical observer will agree he has a 50 ...
A new electoral college projection, reportedly based on a model developed by Nate Silver, has sparked significant discussion ...
Historian Dr. Allan Lichtman, who had aptly predicted 9 of the last 10 presidential victors, finally revealed Thursday what ...
Allan Lichtman, a historian who predicted the last nine out of 10 elections correctly, says Harris will beat Trump this ...
Sri Lanka's election this coming Saturday has raised doubts over when its long-awaited debt deal with bondholders will be ...
The 2024 election is 50 days away. Another apparent assassination attempt was made on Donald Trump. News keeps coming. Here ...